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The Demographics Behind the Recent Crime Increase

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by: Ryan Scott • October 14, 2016 • no comments

Are you wondering why crime is up? Who do you think is responsible for the increase? As they like the say in teasing the local news, "the answer will surprise you."

From a blog post by Kevin Drum, quoting the LA Times:

...Violent crime, which includes murder, rape, robbery and assault, rose 4% among older whites but decreased by 2% among those under age 30....Over the last 25 years — even with falling crime and recent reforms that reduced California’s prison population — older whites are the only group that has shown increased levels of imprisonment, while rates for young people of color have plummeted.

Kevin Drum explains part of the reason why:

I've written about this before, and the key metric here is that violent crime in California is down among all young people and up among all older people. Why? Because older people are part of Generation Lead. Younger people aren't. You see? Millennials don't have it all bad.

For a more thorough discussion on the relationship between lead and crime, go here.